Application of Scenario Forecasting Methods and Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Modeling in Substantiation of Urban Area Development Strategies

The existing approaches to supporting the tasks of managing urban areas development are aimed at choosing an alternative from a set ready-made solutions. Little attention is paid procedure for formation and analysis acceptable options use territories. study's purpose understand how various factors affect efficiency using city’s territory. In addition, we trying this understanding assess possible consequences implementation management decisions on territory transformation. We method structuring knowledge about study area, taking into account influence external environment. This implements significant list assessment their impact development. Fuzzy cognitive modeling was used build scenarios identifying contradictions in achieving sustainable goals. scenario results necessary alternative. Alternatives evaluated basis fuzzy multi-criteria optimization. integration methods makes it increase objectivity strategies Belman-Zadeh analyze selected based criteria that determine feasibility effectiveness each project.